Tài chính doanh nghiệp - Chapter 10: Equity markets

If a stock varies as the market portfolio does, the beta is 1.0 and the stock has a risk level matching the market portfolio such as the S&P 500. A beta greater than one is riskier (aggressive stock) than the “market” while a beta less than one is not as risky as the market and are called defensive stocks. Betas calculated for securities identify their relative historic riskiness.

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Power Point Slides for: Financial Institutions, Markets, and Money, 9th Edition Authors: Kidwell, Blackwell, Whidbee & Peterson Prepared by: Babu G. Baradwaj, Towson University and Lanny R. Martindale, Texas A&M University 1Copyright© 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.CHAPTER 10EQUITY MARKETS2Copyright© 2005 John Wiley & Sons, IncCommon Stock Ownership in a CorporationOne vote per share.Have a residual (last) claim on income and assets in liquidation, thus a riskier position than bonds and preferred stockholders.Shareholders’ liability for the debts of the corporation is limited to their investment in the common stock.3Copyright© 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.Common Stock (concluded)Shareholders’ return is derived from dividends declared by the board of directors and from market appreciation in the value of the stock.Common shareholders may vote their shares to elect the members of the board of directors.Members of the board of directors can be elected by cumulative voting or straight voting.4Copyright© 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.Preferred Stock A Preferred or prior claim on earnings and assets compared to common stockDividends paid ahead of common if declared.Cumulative - arrearage plus current dividends paid before any payment made to common shareholders.Non-participating preferred receive a fixed level of dividends, thus not participating in possible high earnings level of the corporation.Adjustable rate preferred, indexed to market rates, vary as the index varies.5Copyright© 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.Preferred Stock (continued)Preferred stockholders are usually excluded from voting for board of directors and shareholder issues.Many corporations buy preferred stock.A high percentage (70%), depending on the extent of ownership, of dividends received from one corporation by another corporation are federally tax exempt.Investors are concerned about after-tax return.6Copyright© 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.Convertible SecuritiesConvertible preferred stock - convertible to common stock at specific common price or number of shares (conversion ratio).Dividends received until conversionInvestor may participate in growth of firm.Convertible bonds - convertible to common stock at specific common price or number of shares (conversion ratio).Pays fixed bond rate until conversion.Provides potential for higher returns for investors.Convertibles are mostly subordinated debt and hence have a higher risk.Issuing firm is essentially “selling” the company’s stock at a higher future price.7Copyright© 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.Equity Owners8Copyright© 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.Primary Market for EquitiesThe first time shares are sold in the market is an unseasoned offering or an initial public offering (IPO); additional shares may be sold later as a seasoned offering.Equities may be:Sold directly to investors by the firm.Purchased and sold at a higher price (underwriter’s spread) by investment bankers in an underwritten offering.Sold to existing shareholders in a rights offering.The size of the underwriter’s spread depends on the underwriter’s level of uncertainty concerning the shares’ market price.9Copyright© 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.The Secondary Market for Equity Securities Subsequent Trading in Securities after primary issueStock may trade on:Exchanges.Over the counterProvides investor liquidity10Copyright© 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.The Secondary Market (concluded)Stable prices are related to the extent of:Breadth of the market or the number of varied traders of the stock.Depth of the market or the extent to which there are conditional orders to buy and sell below and above the current price, respectively.Resiliency of the market or the ability of the market to attract buyer/sellers when the stock prices decreases/increases, respectively.11Copyright© 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.Secondary MarketsBring Buyers/ Sellers Together Four Ways:A buyer may incur search costs and find a seller on their own, called a direct search.A broker may bring buyer and seller together, charging a commission.A dealer may sell/buy (bid/ask) securities from an inventory of securities, reducing search costs. The dealer’s return is the bid/ask spread.An auction market allocates the selling shares to the highest bidder, providing a buyer/seller.12Copyright© 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.Equity TradingOver-the-counter market (OTC)Securities not listed are traded over-the-counter (OTC). The reasons for not listing a stock include:little investor interest.small issue size.insufficient order flow.The OTC market is a dealer market, which includes a large number of relatively small OTC dealers.Brokers seek favorable prices from a variety of dealers.13Copyright© 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.NASDAQNational Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotation (NASDAQ)Before 1971 daily "pink sheet" information of the National Quotation Bureau listed stocks and associated dealers.After 1971 the National Association of Securities Dealers (NASD) initiated the NASDAQ, the NASD automated quotation system, providing continuous bid/ask information.NASDAQ is an electronic pink sheet.NASDAQ is available to:Level 3 terminals are available only to dealers who enter bid/ask quotes into the system.Level 2 terminals display price information and are available to brokers and institutions.Level 1 terminals provide the best bid/ask quote for a given stock.NASDAQ accelerated the disclosure of dealer quotes to brokers, reducing search time and enhancing the ability to find the best price.14Copyright© 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.Stock ExchangesExchanges are physical places or electronically connected markets where listed stocks are traded by members of the exchange.The New York Stock Exchange is the largest of the U.S. stock exchanges.Stocks are traded on an auction basis at specific locations on the trading floor, called posts. All bid/ask information is at a single place.15Copyright© 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.Stock Exchanges (continued)Three major sources of active bids and offerings are located at each trading post.floor brokers handling customer orders.limit price orders.the specialist in the stock buying and selling for his/her own account, making a continuous market for the stock.Buy/ sell orders includemarket orders to buy or sell at the available price and limit orders to sell at a designated price are sent by brokers to members trading on the floor of the NYSE.limit orders (order to buy or sell at a designated price) are held by the specialists.16Copyright© 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.Globalization of the Equity MarketsElectronically linking equity dealer and exchange markets is slowly leading toward a national market system. Electronically linking international markets has created 24 hour trading opportunities for some stocks.U. S. stock exchanges have extended (after hours) their normal trading hours in which shares are traded electronically, linking U. S. with the hours of international markets.Investors’ ability to invest in foreign stocks is enhanced by American Depository Receipts (ADRs)An American Depository Receipt (ADR) is a negotiable instrument issued by the U.S. financial intermediaries (FIs) against shares in foreign companies, with the shares held in custody by the FIs for investors. ADRs are issued in the U.S. and are denominated in U.S. dollars. All cash flows to the investor are in dollars.17Copyright© 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.Globalization of the Equity Markets (continued)Global Depository Receipts (GDRs) are negotiable receipts issued by financial intermediaries in developed countries other than the U.S. against shares in foreign companies that are held in custody for investors.ADRs and GDRs allow investors to diversify their portfolio globally by reducing both transaction costs and risk for investors.Enhances a company’s visibility, status and profile in the U.S. and internationally among investors, consumers and customers.Establishes/increases the foreign firm’s U.S. liquidity (and potentially total global issuer liquidity) by attracting new investors. 18Copyright© 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.Regulation of Equity MarketsSecurities Act of 1933requires full disclosure of relevant information related to a primary issue of securities.requires registration of publicly traded securities across state lines.requires issuance of prospectus, a summary of registration statement, to interested investors.Securities Exchange Act of 1934Established the SEC.SEC administers the Securities Act of 1933SEC registers and regulates securities exchanges, OTC trading, brokers, and dealers.SEC has broad powers over securities industry.19Copyright© 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.Equity Valuation BasicsThe value of a security is the present value of expected cash flows, discounted at the required rate of return.Identify the size of the relevant, future cash flows and when the cash flows occur.Select the appropriate discount rate.Calculate the present value by discounting the cash flows at the discount rate, recognizing when the cash flows occur.20Copyright© 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.The Total Risk of a Security Comprised of the Systematic (Market or Undiversifiable) Risk and the Unsystematic Risk (Diversifiable).Proper diversification can reduce unsystematic, unique, or security-specific risk.A portfolio of securities can result in diversification, the reduction of total risk or the variability of returns (portfolio) below that of holding the individual securities.21Copyright© 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.The Total Risk of a SecurityDiversification occurs when securities, whose historic returns have correlation coefficients less than +1, are assembled in a portfolio. Unsystematic or diversifiable risks offset one another. The systematic risk of the portfolio cannot be diversified away by adding additional securities.22Copyright© 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.Effect of Diversification on Portfolio Risk23Copyright© 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.Measuring Systematic Risk: BetaInvestors are assumed to hold securities in a diversified portfolio with only systematic or market risk to analyze.The relevant risk of a security is how it correlates with the portfolio.The extent to which the variability of returns (risk) of a stock related to the risk of a broad-based market portfolio is called the beta of the stock. It is a measure of relative risk of a security.24Copyright© 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.Measuring Systematic Risk: Beta (concluded)If a stock varies as the market portfolio does, the beta is 1.0 and the stock has a risk level matching the market portfolio such as the S&P 500.A beta greater than one is riskier (aggressive stock) than the “market” while a beta less than one is not as risky as the market and are called defensive stocks.Betas calculated for securities identify their relative historic riskiness.25Copyright© 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.Stock Market Indexes Stock market indexes are useful to assess the performance of various portfolios of securities.An index is constructed by selecting a starting point and a portfolio of securities, establishing a date and value at a point in time.With time the relative value of the index from the base, starting point is the useful information.26Copyright© 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.Stock Market Indexes (continued)Each stock is assigned a relative weight in the portfolio, by price (price-weighted) of the stock or by weighting the relative market value of the company associated with the stock.A price-weighted index is computed by summing the prices of the individual stocks in the index then dividing by a divisor to determine the base index value.The divisor, such as 100, relates the starting value and is adjusted as stocks split or composition of the index is changed.A market value-weighted index is calculated by summing the total market value of the firms whose stock in the index. The percentage change in the total market value of the firms is the index.Both composition and weighting affect the value of an index over time.27Copyright© 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.The Stock Market As a Predictor of Economic ActivityThe stock market's value changes may predict real economic activity because:Stock prices are thought to represent the present value of expected cash flows. If a recession is coming with lower earnings and dividends, the market should reflect those expectations with lower prices.Stock price declines reduce wealth and may reduce consumption and negative business expectations should curtail investment spending.Evidence indicates that the stock market is not very successful in predicting economic activity. 28Copyright© 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

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