The relation between FDI and employment creation in the enterprise sector is assessed. The result shows that the FDI enterprise sector has a higher employment creation capability than the domestic enterprise sector. One percentage increase in the size of capital resource leads to a higher percentage increase in employment in the FDI enterprise sector than in the local enterprise sector. Next, the assessment of indirect effect of FDI reveals a positive relation between FDI intensity and employment growth in the domestic enterprise sector. This finding implies that there exist spillover effects of FDI on the domestic enterprise sector. However, with a small value for the coefficient, the spillover effects are considered limited. Among the reasons for it would be the poor linkages between FDI and domestic enterprises or the low level of technological absorption capacity in the domestic enterprise sector. This study is considered as the first attempt to investigate the effects of FDI on employment creation in the enterprise sector in Vietnam. Although we found that the FDI enterprise sector has a higher employment creation capability than the domestic enterprise sector and FDI has a positive indirect effect on employment growth in the domestic enterprise sector, there are several issues left unexplored. Namely, the causes that make the FDI enterprise sector be more capable in creating jobs than the domestic enterprise sector and channels through which the spillover effects of FDI work. These would be the interest for further studies.
11 trang |
Chia sẻ: hachi492 | Ngày: 13/01/2022 | Lượt xem: 294 | Lượt tải: 0
Bạn đang xem nội dung tài liệu FDI and employment creation in the enterprise sector in Viet Nam, để tải tài liệu về máy bạn click vào nút DOWNLOAD ở trên
VNU Journal of Science: Economics and Business, Vol. 36, No. 5E (2020) 81-91
81
Original Article
FDI and Employment Creation
in the Enterprise Sector in Vietnam
Dao Thi Bich Thuy*
VNU University of Economics and Business, 144 Xuan Thuy, Cau Giay, Hanoi, Vietnam
Received 13 July 2020
Revised 19 December 2020; Accepted 19 December 2020
Abstract: Since the Foreign Investment Law was first promulgated in Vietnam in 1987, the
inflows of FDI to the country have increased significantly over the years. Among the contributions
of FDI to the socio-economic development of the country, interest is placed on employment
creation. The purpose of this study is to assess the relation between FDI and employment creation
in the enterprise sector in Vietnam. The empirical study is conducted at the local level with all 63
provinces nationwide in the period from 2006 to 2014. The results reveal that the FDI enterprise
sector has a higher employment creation capability than the domestic enterprise sector. Besides,
a positive relation between the FDI intensity (in terms of the size of FDI in relative to the total
capital resource) and the growth of employment in the domestic enterprise sector is found which
implies that the relatively larger presence of FDI enterprises can have positive spillover effects on
the domestic enterprise sector’s employment growth. However, the spillover effects of FDI are
considered limited.
Keywords: FDI, employment, enterprise sector.
1. Introduction *
Foreign Investment Law was first
promulgated in Vietnam in 1987, setting an
important milestone for the process of
international economic integration. Through
several times of amendments and supplements,
to meet the requirements of international
economic integration and enhance the state
management of investment activities,
Investment Law 2005 replaced Foreign
_______
* Corresponding author.
E-mail address: thuydaokt@vnu.edu.vn
https://doi.org/10.25073/2588-1108/vnueab.4381
Investment Law and Domestic Investment
Promotion Law. This Law creates a unity in the
legal system of investment that creates a fair
“playing field”, non-discriminates among
investors, simplifies investment procedures, and
creates favorable conditions to attract and
effectively use of investment capital sources.
Since 1987, Vietnam witnessed remarkable
increase in the flows of FDI into the country.
In general view, the FDI sector has become
an important part and increasingly contributes to
https://doi.org/10.25073/2588-1108/vnueab.4381
D.T.B. Thuy / VNU Journal of Science: Economics and Business, Vol. 36, No. 5E (2020) 81-91
82
the socio-economic development of the country.
FDI fosters economic growth as the sector
contributes gradual increase to GDP over the
years. FDI promotes economic restructure and
plays as an important factor for the development
of many modern industries. Through FDI,
Vietnam has access to advanced technology of
the world to develop industries using modern
technology such as biotechnology,
telecommunications, software industry,
electronics,... FDI helps to improve the country’s
export capacity and expand export markets to
other countries. FDI also contributes
significantly to the welfare of the country via
employment creation and the state budget
revenue contribution.
There are ample studies on FDI in Vietnam
both at the qualitative and quantitative level.
However, most of empirical studies focus on the
effect of FDI on economic growth in Vietnam.
Among them are Nguyen Thị Tue Anh et al.,
2006 [1], Nguyen Phi Lan, 2006 [2], Nguyen
Van Duy et al., 2014 [3], Hoang Quoc Chinh and
Duong Thi Chi, 2018 [4] and Ha Thanh Cong,
2019 [5]. While there are many studies on the
relationship between FDI and economic growth,
there is still lack of empirical studies on the
effect of FDI on other aspects, among those is
employment. There is one empirical study on the
effect of FDI on employment in Vietnam by
Jenkins, 2006 [6]. The study showed that the
direct employment generated by FDI has been
limited. The reason is that most of Vietnam’s
labor force concentrates in the agricultural
sector and in services such as the wholesale and
retail trades, and transport where the FDI
presence has been insignificant. Besides, the
indirect employment effects have been minimal
because of the limited linkages which foreign
firms create.
There is a big gap in research for the relation
between FDI and employment in Vietnam. In a
narrow scope, this study does not look at the
effect of FDI on the national level of
employment but rather focuses on the relation in
the enterprise sector. There are two questions
that are sought to answer. First, what is the
employment creation capability of the FDI
enterprise sector in comparison with the
domestic enterprise sector? Second, how FDI
enterprises have indirect effects on employment
creation in the domestic enterprise sector? The
rest of the paper is organized as followed: Section
2 presents the literature review on the effect of FDI
on employment, followed by Section 3
overviewing the FDI enterprise sector
development in Vietnam. Empirical study on FDI
and employment creation is then provided in
Section 4 and finally Section 5 is the conclusion.
2. Literature Review on the Effects of FDI
on Employment
From a theoretical point of view, the effect
of FDI on employment creation in the host
countries can be both positive and negative [7].
Positive effect of FDI on employment occurs
where FDI investment supplements domestic
investment and involves the creation of new
“greenfield” plants. By introducing new
industries or establishing new firms into the
existing industries in the local economies, FDI
obviously raises the demand for labor. Besides,
FDI can indirectly contribute to the employment
level of the local economies via job creation
from forward and backward linkages with
domestic firms. Through these linkages FDI
helps to create development opportunities for
domestic firms in upstream and downstream
industries. FDI spillovers through backward
linkages occur when FDI firms establish a
relationship with local firms in upstream
industries with a purpose to supply intermediate
inputs for them. Growth in FDI increases market
for local-supplier firms since demand for their
output rises. In this way, FDI contributes to the
development of domestic supporting industries.
Forward linkages take place when local firms in
downstream industries can buy high quality at
lower cost intermediate inputs produced by FDI
firms operating in the upstream industries rather
than import them from overseas. Better-quality
inputs at lower cost used in the production of
domestic firms can make the firms more
competitive and enable them to expand
production and employment. In addition, as
D.T.B. Thuy / VNU Journal of Science: Economics and Business, Vol. 36, No. 5E (2020) 81-91
83
pointed in Ogunkola and Jerome, 2006 [8] FDI
firms can create positive spillover effects from the
transfer of technology, knowledge and skills to
domestic firms which pave the way for high degree
of competitiveness, significant innovation and
improvements in the host country’s export
performance leading to tremendous generation of
employment opportunities.
On another hand, FDI can have a negative
effect on employment level of the host countries
when FDI firms compete directly with local
firms. Facing with highly competitive pressure
exerted from foreign affiliates, domestic firms
lose their market share and employment
contraction is the result. As well argued in
Lipsey and Sjöholm, 2004 [9], there are at least
two channels that FDI can reduce employment
of the domestic firms. First, FDI by having firm-
specific advantages can gain a competitive edge
against their domestic competitors despite a
comparatively poor knowledge of local
conditions. Second, FDI might raise the wage
levels and push pressure upward the wages of
their domestic competitors causing the deterrent
of job growth in domestic firms. In addition, if the
mode of FDI entry takes in the form of acquisition
or takeover of local firms then FDI displace the
local producers and if they change to adopt capital
intensive technology then this obviously harms
employment in the host country.
Empirical studies on employment effect of
FDI in host countries have been done for both
developed and developing countries. The
outcome shows mixed results as researchers
have not yet reached at any consensus on
contribution of FDI to employment generation in
host countries. Studies such as Abor and Harvey,
2008 [10], Pinn et al., 2011 [11], Mpanju, 2012
[12] and Tshepo, 2014 [13] found a positive
employment effect of FDI. In contrast to this,
other researchers found no effect or even
negative effect of FDI on employment level
(Rizvi and Nishat, 2009 [14], Onimisi, 2014 [15]
and Malik, 2019 [16]). Yet other studies claimed
that FDI impact on employment may differ across
different economic sectors in the economy.
In the study of Mexico, Waldkirch et al.,
2009 [17] confirmed that FDI have increased
employment in both skilled and unskilled
workforce but found that the employment effect
of FDI is stronger in export-oriented industries.
Karlsson et al., 2009 [18] examined the effect of
FDI on job creation in the Chinese
manufacturing sector for the period 1998-2004.
The study looked into both direct and indirect
effects of FDI on employment. For the direct
effects, the finding showed that both FDI and
private domestic firms have higher employment
growth than non-private domestic firms. This is
due to firm characteristics such as high
productivity, capital intensity, wage and
especially export share which plays as a proxy
for access to international markets that gives
foreign firms additional competitive advantages
as compared to domestic firms. Besides, FDI
was found to have a positive indirect effect on
employment growth in private domestic firms
but no effect in non-private domestic firms.
Lipsey et al., 2010 [19] while exploring the
relationship between foreign ownership and
employment in Indonesia in 1975-2005 also
found that foreign-owned manufacturing firms
grew more rapidly in employment than firms that
were domestically owned. Inekwe, 2013 [20]
studied the links between Nigerian employment
and foreign direct investment in the
manufacturing and servicing sectors between
1990 and 2009. He found that FDI in the
manufacturing sector has a positive relationship
with employment rate while in the servicing
sector the relationship is negative. Studying FDI
and growth of employment in India during the
period 1991 to 2012, Narender and Dhankar,
2016 [21] showed that FDI plays a significant
role in an unemployment reduction in the private
sector of but does no help to raise the
employment in the public sector.
3. Overview of FDI Enterprise Sector
Development in Vietnam
The development of the FDI sector is
recognized both in terms of the growth in the
number of enterprises and the size of capital
resource. Since 2000, the number of FDI
D.T.B. Thuy / VNU Journal of Science: Economics and Business, Vol. 36, No. 5E (2020) 81-91
84
enterprises has increased continuously from
1,525 to reach at 16,878 in 2018, with an average
annual growth rate of 14.5%. During this period,
the capital resource of FDI enterprises also
experienced a strong growth at the average
annual rate of 21%, bringing the capital size of
this sector in 2018 nearly 30 times higher than in
2000. Especially in 2007, 2010 and 2013, capital
resource grew at a remarkably high rate of over
30% and even 43% in 2010. It can be noticed that
the growth rate of capital resource was much
higher than the growth rate of the number of
enterprises. This proves that more and more
large-scale FDI enterprises invested and
expanded their business in Vietnam.
F
F
Figure 1. FDI capital resource and its growth in Vietnam.
Source: GSO Vietnam.
Foreign investment was unevenly distributed
across the country and mainly concentrated in
several large cities and provinces. Particularly,
in the two largest cities which are Ho Chi Minh
City and Hanoi, FDI accounted for 39% of the
total. Provinces with tradition in high FDI
attraction continued to be Binh Duong, Dong
Nai and Ba Ria Vung Tau. In recent years
provinces including Bac Ninh, Ha Tinh, Thai
Nguyen and Hai Phong have emerged to become
among the top provinces that attract high FDI.
Top 10 provinces accounted for 83% of the
country's FDI.
By the structure of capital resource, FDI
enterprises accounted for more than 18% of the
enterprise sector’s capital nationwide, thus
showing a significant presence of this sector.
This share has fluctuated over the years. On the
average over a period of 5 years, this share
decreased and then increased again and
remained relatively stable at 18% (Figure2).
Along with the development of the FDI sector,
the number of jobs created in this sector has also
been recorded with continuous growth over the
years. During the 2000-2018 period, the average
annual growth rate of employment was 14.9%. In
2018, the sector provided over 4.7 million of jobs.
However, when having a close look at the annual
growth rate figures, one can see that this rate tended
to decrease. During the period of 2001-2005, the
average annual growth rate was 24.8%, then
sharply decreased to 12.2% in the period of
2006-2010, followed by 11.9% in the period of
2011-2015 and in 3 years of 2016-2018 period this
rate was only 7.7% (Figure 3).
However, when looking at the enterprise
sector’s structure of employment, the picture is
completely opposite. There is a clear rising
tendency in the share of employment created by
the FDI enterprise sector. Through each 5-year
period, this share has increased from 16.3% to
22.5%, then 26.6% and finally reached at 30.8%
in the last period. This shows that the FDI
enterprises have been increasingly becoming an
important source of job creation in the enterprise
sector (Figure 4).
F
0
10
20
30
40
50
0
1000000
2000000
3000000
4000000
5000000
6000000
7000000
8000000
Capital resource (billion VND) Annual growth rate (%)
D.T.B. Thuy / VNU Journal of Science: Economics and Business, Vol. 36, No. 5E (2020) 81-91
85
Figure 2. Structure of capital resource in the enterprise sector in Vietnam.
Source: The author’s own calculations from data collected from GSO Vietnam.
Figure 3. FDI sectors’ employment and its growth in Vietnam.
Source: GSO Vietnam.
Figure 4. Structure of employment in the enterprise sector in Vietnam.
Source: The author’s own calculations from data collected from GSO Vietnam.
79 83 82 82
21 17 18 18
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2001-2005 2006-2010 2011-2015 2016-2018
Domestic enterprises FDI enterprises
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
0
1000000
2000000
3000000
4000000
5000000
Number of employment Annual growth rate (%)
84 78 73 69
16 22 27 31
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2001-2005 2006-2010 2011-2015 2016-2018
Domestic enterprises FDI enterprises
D.T.B. Thuy / VNU Journal of Science: Economics and Business, Vol. 36, No. 5E (2020) 81-91
86
4. Empirical Study on FDI and Employment
Creation in the Enterprise Sector
The empirical study is conducted with the two
objectives. First is to assess the employment creation
capability of the FDI enterprise sector in comparison
with the domestic enterprise sector. Second is to
assess the indirect effect of FDI on employment
creation in the domestic enterprise sector.
The employment creation capability in the
enterprise sector can be measured as the percentage
increase in the number of jobs associated with 1
percentage increase in the size of capital resource.
This measurement is known as the employment
elasticity of capital with the formula.
𝐸𝐿 =
%∆𝐿
%∆𝐾
(1)
where EL is elasticity of employment with
respect to capital, K is the size of capital resource
and L is number of jobs. When the enterprise
sector grows in terms of increase in the size of
capital resource, more jobs will be created and
how much more is determined by the EL. The
employment elasticity formula indicates that 1%
increase in capital resource will lead to an EL %
increase in the number of jobs. The higher the
elasticity value, the greater the employment
creation capability in the sector.
The study on the employment creation
capability in the enterprise sector is conducted at
the local level with all 63 provinces nationwide
in the period from 2006 to 2014. The chosen
period in the study is due to the availability of
published data. The regression equation can be
written as
LNLi,t = c + αi + βLNKi,t + ei,t (2)
Where subscript i denotes province and t
denotes time in year.
LNL and LNK are natural logarithm of
number of jobs and natural logarithm of capital
resource, respectively. Equation (2) indicates
that when capital resource increases by 1%, the
number of jobs increases by β% or EL = β.
Therefore, the estimated value of β measures the
employment elasticity coefficient or job creation
capability in the enterprise sector.
To have a comparative assessment,
regression is conducted for both FDI and local
enterprise sectors. Data on capital resource (in
billions of VND) and employment (in number of
employed workers) is taken from various
enterprise surveys published by the General
Statistics Office of Vietnam. In particular, data
for the FDI enterprise sector is taken from
publications including Foreign direct investment
enterprises in the period of 2006-2011 and
Results of foreign invested enterprises in the
period 2011-2016. Data for the entire enterprise
sector is taken from publications including
Development of Vietnam enterprises in the
period of 2006-2011 and Business results of
Vietnamese enterprises in the period 2000-2014
[22]. Data for the domestic enterprise sector is
derived by subtracting data for the FDI
enterprise sector from data for the entire
enterprise sector.
The data for 63 provinces is collected in the
same period that provides a strongly balanced
panel data. Analyzing panel data requires control
for unobserved factors affecting the dependent
variable. Because each province has its own
characteristics, these unobservable factors are
considered as provincial heterogeneity. The
variable αi includes unobserved factors that
affect the dependent variable and thus reflects
the provincial specific impact. It could be a fixed
effect or a random effect. Regression analysis of
panel data was performed with Stata program. A
fixed effect model and a random effect model
were tried and the Hausman test revealed that the
fixed effect model was more useful. The
regression results are reported in Table 1.
Table 1. Employment creation capability in FDI
and domestic enterprise sectors
FDI enterprise sector
Domestic enterprise
sector
Coefficient
EL
P - value
Coefficient
EL
P - value
0.909 0.000 0.651 0.000
Number of
observations: 558
Number of
observations: 567
Source: Author’s own calculation (see Appendix).
D.T.B. Thuy / VNU Journal of Science: Economics and Business, Vol. 36, No. 5E (2020) 81-91
87
As can be seen from Table 1, there is clearly
a substantial difference in the capability of
employment creation among the two enterprise
sectors. The coefficient of employment elasticity
with respect to capital in the FDI sector is 0.91
which is higher than the coefficient of 0.65 in the
domestic sector. 1% increase in the size of
capital resource in the FDI enterprise sector
leads to 0.91% increase in employment while in
the domestic enterprise sector there is an
increase of only 0.65% in employment as a result
from 1% increase in capital resource. This shows
that the FDI enterprises sector has a higher
employment creation capability than the
domestic enterprise sector and thus growth in the
FDI sector is more beneficial to employment
growth than growth in the domestic sector.
As well indicated in the literature, there are
reasons to expect that the presence of foreign
enterprises can have both positive and negative
effects on employment in domestic enterprises.
On one hand, positive effects can be caused by
spillover effects from foreign enterprises via the
support of linkage industries or improvement of
domestic enterprises’ productivity. On another
hand, negative effects can be caused by
increased competition that foreign enterprises
place on domestic enterprises. The net effect of
FDI on employment in the domestic enterprise
sector depends on the strength of spillover
effects and competition effects which one
outweigh another. To assess the indirect effect of
FDI on employment, the variable FDI intensity
(measured as the ratio of FDI enterprise sector’s
capital resource and the total capital resource) is
included into the regression equation 2 which is
now applied for the domestic enterprise sector.
The magnitude of the FDI intensity determines
the position of FDI enterprises in the enterprise
sector. When this intensity increases, the size of
capital resource in the FDI enterprise sector will
increase stronger than the increase in the entire
sector’s capital resource, making FDI enterprises
gain a higher position in the sector. The higher
the FDI intensity the more presence the FDI
enterprises in the enterprise sector. If this
intensity plays as a determinant of employment,
then the sign of the impact would tell whether
FDI has a beneficial or an adverse impact on
employment growth in the domestic enterprise
sector. Besides, one control variable included
into the model is the state of economic
development. When the economy experiences
high economic growth performance, the level of
production in the economy increases and higher
total output leads to higher demand for labor. In
addition, increase in the national income also
raises the level of consumption and thus
increases demand for goods produced in the
enterprise sectors and result in a higher
employment growth in the sector. The regression
equation is rewritten as follows
LNLi,t = c + αi + β1LNKi,t + β2IFDIi,t +
β3EGRi,t + ei,t (3)
Where subscript i denotes province and t
denotes time in year.
Dependent variable: Employment
LNL indicates the natural logarithm
of number of workers in the domestic
enterprise sector.
Explanatory variables
Size of capital resource (LNK): the natural
logarithm of the size of capital resource in the
domestic enterprise sector.
FDI intensity (IFDI): the relative presence of
FDI enterprises in the sector which is measured
by the FDI enterprises’ capital over total capital
in the sector.
State of economic development (EGR): is
measured by the annual economic growth rate of
the country which reflects how well the economy
is performing.
All data for the dependent and other
explanatory variables are taken from the General
Statistics Office of Vietnam’s publications as
previously stated in [22]. The data for 63 provinces
is collected in the same period that provides a
strongly balanced panel data. Diagnostic tests
showed that the panel data has a contemporaneous
correlation, heteroskedasticity, and serial
correlation. With the presence of these problems
in data, Torres-Reyna, 2007 [23] suggests using
the generalized least square method. The
regression results are reported in Table 2.
D.T.B. Thuy / VNU Journal of Science: Economics and Business, Vol. 36, No. 5E (2020) 81-91
88
Table 2. Indirect effect of FDI on employment
in the enterprise sector
Dependent variable: LNL: Employment
Explanatory variables Coefficient P-value
LNK: Size of capital
resource
0.683 0.000
IFDI: FDI intensity 0.003 0.002
EGR: State of economic
development
0.265 0.000
CONSTANT 2.225 0.000
Number of observations: 558
Source: Author’s own calculation (see Appendix).
As can be seen from Table 2, all three
explanatory variables have a statistically
significant effect on the creation of jobs in the
domestic enterprise sector.
With the statistical significance level of 1%,
FDI intensity shows to be a determinant of
employment in the domestic enterprise sector. The
positive coefficient value shows the larger the
relative presence of FDI, the higher the growth rate
of employment. The positive impact of the FDI
intensity on employment implies that the positive
spillover effects dominate the negative competition
effects leaving the beneficial impact on
employment creation in the domestic enterprise
sector. There are several implications can be
withdrawn from this finding. First, the competition
between foreign enterprises and domestic
enterprises, if exists, would be at a low level. There
would be the case when foreign enterprises do not
compete with domestic enterprises for local
markets but rather concentrate on foreign markets
where they export their products. Second, the
spillover effects can work in various channels. In
one channel, spillover effects work through the
diffusion of technology, knowledge, and skills
from foreign to domestic firms. Direct
technological transfer occurs via joint ventures
between foreign and their counterpart local firms.
Indirect diffusion may occur via interpersonal
contact where local firms can learn about
technology and managerial skills from foreign
firms. In either way, FDI improves productivity for
domestic firms and higher productivity tends to be
associated with larger firm size which leads to an
increase in employment. In another channel,
spillover effects work through linkage industries
that FDI enterprises establish with local
enterprises. When the FDI sector grows, its higher
output demands for more intermediate inputs
produced by local enterprises. Business expansion
in the local enterprise sector means higher
employment level in the sector. With the
coefficient value of 0.003, 1 percentage point
increase in the FDI intensity leads to 0.003
percentage increase in employment in the domestic
enterprise sector. This suggests spillover effects of
FDI on the domestic enterprise sector’s
employment are there, but still minimal.
In fact, there exists backward linkages
between FDI enterprises and local enterprises in
Vietnam. According to the survey of the
Vietnam Chamber of Commerce and Industry
(VCCI), about 14% of the domestic private
enterprises have FDI enterprises operating in
Vietnam as their customers and about 27% of
input materials in the FDI sector are purchased
in Vietnam [24]. Private domestic enterprises
produce and supply components, accessories,
and auxiliary products for FDI enterprises and
thereby FDI helps to develop supporting
industries and job creation in those industries. A
bright example is Samsung Corporation with
more than 200 Vietnamese supporting industry
enterprises by the end of 2017. However, in
general view, the linkages between FDI and
domestic enterprises are there but weak and not
as expected. One of the reasons for the poor
linkages is the difference in technology level.
The majority of Vietnamese enterprises are
small and medium size with low level of
technology. Modern and advanced technology
products are demanding at each detail and
component which is not easy for local small and
medium enterprises to meet [25]. Therefore,
spillover effects of FDI are still limited.
5. Conclusion
In the enterprise sector in Vietnam, FDI
enterprises have become an important part with
the share of about 18% in the structure of capital
D.T.B. Thuy / VNU Journal of Science: Economics and Business, Vol. 36, No. 5E (2020) 81-91
89
resource. Since 2000 the FDI sector has
experienced significant growth in terms of
number of enterprises as well as the size of
capital resource and output. The growth of the
FDI enterprise sector is accompanied by the
growth in the number of jobs created in this
sector with the average annual growth rate of
nearly 20% in the 2000-2018 period. The
employment contribution of FDI enterprises in
the enterprise sector has also continued to
increase over the years and the share reached
31.8% in 2018 making this sector become an
important source of employment creation in the
enterprise sector.
The relation between FDI and employment
creation in the enterprise sector is assessed. The
result shows that the FDI enterprise sector has a
higher employment creation capability than the
domestic enterprise sector. One percentage
increase in the size of capital resource leads to a
higher percentage increase in employment in the
FDI enterprise sector than in the local enterprise
sector. Next, the assessment of indirect effect of
FDI reveals a positive relation between FDI
intensity and employment growth in the
domestic enterprise sector. This finding implies
that there exist spillover effects of FDI on the
domestic enterprise sector. However, with a
small value for the coefficient, the spillover
effects are considered limited. Among the
reasons for it would be the poor linkages
between FDI and domestic enterprises or the low
level of technological absorption capacity in the
domestic enterprise sector.
This study is considered as the first attempt
to investigate the effects of FDI on employment
creation in the enterprise sector in Vietnam.
Although we found that the FDI enterprise sector
has a higher employment creation capability
than the domestic enterprise sector and FDI has
a positive indirect effect on employment growth
in the domestic enterprise sector, there are
several issues left unexplored. Namely, the
causes that make the FDI enterprise sector be
more capable in creating jobs than the domestic
enterprise sector and channels through which the
spillover effects of FDI work. These would be
the interest for further studies.
References
[1] N.T.T. Anh, V.X.N. Hong, T.T. Thang, N.M. Hai,
“The impact of FDI on economic growth in
Vietnam”, Science and Technics Publishing
House, 2006.
[2] N.P. Lan, “FDI and its linkage to economic growth
in Vietnam: a provincial level analysis”, working
paper, Centre for Regulation and Market Analysis,
University of South Australia, 2006.
[3] N.V. Duy, D.T. Kien, B.Q. Tuyen, “The effects of
foreign direct investment on economic growth in
Vietnam in the period 1990-2013 by ARDL
model”, Science and Training. Saigon University
of Technology 1 (2014) 59-67.
[4] H.Q. Chinh, D.T. Chi, “Analysis of foreign direct
investment and economic growth in Vietnam”,
International Journal of Business, Economics and
Law 15(5) (2018) 19-27.
[5] H.T. Cong, “The impact of foreign direct
investment and international trade on Vietnam's
economic growth”, Journal of Science and
Technology 52 (2019) 104-110.
[6] R. Jenkins, “Globalization, FDI and employment in
Viet Nam”, Transnational Corporations New York,
NY: United Nations Publication 15(1) (2006)
115-142.
[7] UNCTAD, World Investment Report1994:
Transnational Corporations, Employment and the
Workplace (New York and Geneva: United
Nations), 1994.
[8] E.O. Ogunkola, A. Jerome, “Foreign direct
investment in Nigeria: magnitude, direction and
prospects”, In Ayayi, S.I (ed) Foreign Direct
Investment in Sub-Saharan Africa: Origins, Targets,
Impact and Potential. Nairobi: AERC, 2006.
[9] R. Lipsey, F. Sjöholm, “FDI and wage spillovers in
Indonesian manufacturing”, Review of World
Economics 140(2) (2004) 321-332.
[10] J. Abor, S. Harvey, “Foreign direct investment and
employment: host country experience”,
Macroeconomics and Finance in Emerging Market
Economies 1(2) (2008) 213-225.
[11] S. Pinn, K. Ching, M. Kogid, D. Mulok,
K. Mansur, N. Loganathan, “Empirical analysis of
employment and foreign direct investment in
Malaysia: an ARDL bounds testing approach to
cointegration”, Advances in Management and
Applied Economics 1(3) (2011) 77-91.
[12] A.K. Mpanju, “The impact of foreign direct
investment on employment creation in Tanzania”.
ENITH International Journal of Business Economics
and Management Research 2(1) (2012) 126-139.
D.T.B. Thuy / VNU Journal of Science: Economics and Business, Vol. 36, No. 5E (2020) 81-91
90
[13] M. Tshepo, “The impact of foreign direct
investment on economic growth and employment
in South Africa: a time series analysis”.
Mediterranean Journal of Social Sciences 5(25)
(2014) 18.
[14] S. Rizvi, M. Nishat, “The impact of foreign direct
investment on employment opportunities: panel
data analysis: empirical evidence from Pakistan,
India and China”, The Pakistan Development
Review 48(4) (2009) 841-851.
[15] A.T. Onimisi, “Foreign direct investments and
employment generation nexus in Nigeria”, Journal of
Educational and Social Research 4(5) (2014) 119.
[16] S. Malik, “Employment effect of foreign direct
investment in Indian manufacturing industries”,
The Indian Journal of Labor Economics 62(4)
(2019) 621-637.
[17] A. Waldkirch, P. Nunnenkamp, A. Bremont,
“Employment effects of FDI in Mexico's non-
maquiladora manufacturing”, The Journal of
Development Studies 45(7) (2009) 1165-1183.
[18] S. Karlsson, N. Lundin, F. Sjöholm, P. He,
“Foreign firms and Chinese employment”, The
World Economy 32(1) (2009) 178-201.
[19] R. Lipsey, F. Sjöholm, J. Sun, “Foreign ownership
and employment growth in Indonesian
manufacturing”, National Bureau of Economic
Research, No.15936, 2010.
[20] J. Inekwe, “FDI, employment and economic
growth in Nigeria”, African Development Review
25(4) (2013) 421-433.
[21] Narender, R. Dhankar, “Foreign capital inflows
and growth of employment in India: an empirical
evidence from public and private sector”,
International Journal of Economics and Finance
8(2) (2016) 189-196.
[22] General Statistic Office of Vietnam: Foreign direct
investment enterprises in the period of 2006-2011,
Results of foreign invested enterprises in the period
2011-2016, Development of Vietnam enterprises
in the period of 2006-2011 and Business results of
Vietnamese enterprises in the period 2000-2014.
[23] O.T. Reyna, “Panel data analysis fixed and random
effects using Stata”, available at
https://www.princeton.edu/~otorres/Panel101.pdf,
2007 (accessed March/2016).
[24] “Links between FDI and domestic enterprises” at:
https://www.nhandan.com.vn/nation_news/item/3
6454402 (accessed June/2020).
[25] “Connecting FDI and domestic businesses”, at:
noi-fdi-va-doanh-nghiep-trong-nuoc-142166.html
(accessed June/2020).
Appendix
Employment creation capability in the FDI enterprise sector
_cons 1.318276 .1249099 10.55 0.000 1.073457 1.563095
lnfk .9096184 .015808 57.54 0.000 .8786352 .9406015
lnfl Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval]
Log likelihood = -789.7565 Prob > chi2 = 0.0000
Wald chi2(1) = 3311.03
max = 9
avg = 8.857143
Estimated coefficients = 2 Obs per group: min = 5
Estimated autocorrelations = 0 Number of groups = 63
Estimated covariances = 1 Number of obs = 558
Correlation: no autocorrelation
Panels: homoskedastic
Coefficients: generalized least squares
Cross-sectional time-series FGLS regression
D.T.B. Thuy / VNU Journal of Science: Economics and Business, Vol. 36, No. 5E (2020) 81-91
91
Employment creation capability in the domestic enterprise sector
Indirect effect of FDI on employment creation in the domestic enterprise sector
O
r
P
_cons 4.204892 .1344451 31.28 0.000 3.941385 4.4684
lndk .6518418 .0130821 49.83 0.000 .6262014 .6774821
lndl Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval]
Log likelihood = -325.3428 Prob > chi2 = 0.0000
Wald chi2(1) = 2482.75
Estimated coefficients = 2 Time periods = 9
Estimated autocorrelations = 0 Number of groups = 63
Estimated covariances = 1 Number of obs = 567
Correlation: no autocorrelation
Panels: homoskedastic
Coefficients: generalized least squares
Cross-sectional time-series FGLS regression
_cons 2.225308 .2423325 9.18 0.000 1.750345 2.700271
egr .2653906 .0270582 9.81 0.000 .2123576 .3184236
ifdi .0033572 .0010634 3.16 0.002 .0012729 .0054415
lnk .6837534 .0134 51.03 0.000 .65749 .7100169
lnl Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval]
Log likelihood = -270.4476 Prob > chi2 = 0.0000
Wald chi2(3) = 3014.17
max = 9
avg = 8.857143
Estimated coefficients = 4 Obs per group: min = 5
Estimated autocorrelations = 0 Number of groups = 63
Estimated covariances = 1 Number of obs = 558
Correlation: no autocorrelation
Panels: homoskedastic
Coefficients: generalized least squares
Cross-sectional time-series FGLS regression
Các file đính kèm theo tài liệu này:
- fdi_and_employment_creation_in_the_enterprise_sector_in_viet.pdf